Regency Centers (REG – Free Report) came out with quarterly funds from operations (FFO) of $1 per share, beating Zacks consensus estimate of $0.95 per share. That compares to an FFO of $0.99 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.
This quarterly report represents a surprise FFO of 5.26%. A quarter ago, this shopping center real estate investment trust was expected to post an FFO of $0.93 per share when it was actually producing an FFO of $1.03, delivering a surprise of 10.75%.
In the past four quarters, the company has exceeded consensus FFO estimates three times.
Regency centers
The sustainability of the immediate stock price movement based on recently released numbers and future FFO expectations will primarily depend on management’s comments on the earnings call.
Shares of Regency Centers have lost about 16.6% year-to-date compared to a -12.8% decline for the S&P 500.
What’s next for Regency Centers?
While Regency Centers has underperformed the market so far this year, the question on investors’ minds is: what’s next for the stock?
There is no easy answer to this key question, but a reliable metric that can help investors solve this problem is the company’s FFO outlook. This includes not only current FFO consensus expectations for the upcoming quarter(s), but also how those expectations have changed recently.
Empirical research shows a strong correlation between short-term stock movements and trends in estimate revisions. Investors can track these revisions on their own or rely on a proven rating tool like Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of estimate revisions.
Prior to this earnings release, the trend in estimate revisions for Regency Centers is mixed. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions may change following the release of the company’s earnings report, the current situation translates into a No. 3 (hold) Zacks ranking for the stock. Thus, the shares should move in line with the market in the near future. You can see the full list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
It will be interesting to see how the estimates for the next few quarters and the current fiscal year change in the days ahead. The current FFO consensus estimate is $0.96 on $297.6 million in revenue for the upcoming quarter and $3.89 on $1.2 billion in revenue for the current fiscal year.
Investors should be aware that the outlook for the sector can also have a significant impact on stock performance. In terms of Zacks industry ranking, REIT and Equity Trust – Retail are currently in the top 22% of Zacks 250+ industries. Our research shows that the top 50% of industries ranked by Zacks outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1.
Another stock from Zacks Finance’s broader sector, Opportun Financial Corporation (OPRT – Free Report), has yet to report its results for the quarter ended June 2022. The results are expected to be released on August 8.
This company is expected to post quarterly earnings of $0.07 per share in its next report, representing a year-over-year change of -87.5%. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised up 40.7% in the past 30 days from the current level.
Revenue from Oportun Financial Corporation is expected to be $217.83 million, up 57.5% from the prior year quarter.
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